Showing posts with label commodities. Show all posts
Showing posts with label commodities. Show all posts

Wednesday, 4 May 2011

Glencore: One corporation's power over life and death

Until now the largest and wealthiest commodities trader in the world, notorious for tax avoidance, has managed its murky business in the shadows. But it needs capital to fuel its growth, hence its launch on the London stock market today.

Most people on the planet will not have heard of Glencore, but virtually all are only too well aware of the inflationary effects of its control of a wide range of commodities. Glencore controls 60% of the world’s trade in zinc and 50% in copper.

According to the World Bank’s Food Price Watch, since June 2010, an additional 44 million people fell below the $1.25 poverty line as a result of higher food prices. In March 2011, the food index remained 36% above its level a year earlier.

Even the notoriously right-wing Daily Mail is disturbed by Glencore’s power over life and death. A special investigation says:
Its empire stretches from the jungles of Colombia to the plains of Australia. It makes its money from metals, minerals, oil, sugar, grain — commodities that form the very building blocks of world trade. And, armed with the best possible knowledge of global events, its traders buy these at the lowest possible price and sell at the highest possible mark-up.

With its share issue – the biggest-ever in London – Glencore is now drawing together many more threads in the global web of capital consolidation that is driving food and fuel inflation and forcing tens of millions over the edge into starvation.

Everyone who is anyone in the exploitation of the planet and its people wants to get in on the game of building profit from starvation. Aabar, a unit of Abu Dhabi’s International Petroleum Investment Company is set to be its largest external investor, taking $1 billion. GIC, Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund, will take $400m. Fund managers BlackRock and Fidelity, are set to take $360m and $215m, respectively. Swiss banks Credit Suisse, UBS and Pictet will also take part. Zijin Mining, the Chinese group, will buy as well as several other institutional investors, including hedge funds Och Ziff, Eton Park and York Capital. The launch brings huge fees to the banks which underwrite it. The group is led by global co-ordinators Citigroup, Credit Suisse and Morgan Stanley.

Commodity speculation took off in a big way in the wake of the 2007/8 global financial meltdown. In a co-ordinated panic action, governments and central banks threw billions of every currency onto the world’s credit markets trying to stave off the inevitable recession. But with banks refusing to lend, a great deal of the money found its way into the commodity markets, driving price inflation way beyond the effects of demand and supply pressures.

In 2003, the commodities futures market amounted to just $13 billion. But when the global financial crisis hit, commodities – including food – seemed like the last, best place for hedge, pension, and sovereign wealth funds to park their cash. "You had people who had no clue what commodities were all about suddenly buying commodities," an analyst from the United States Department of Agriculture said. In the first 55 days of 2008, speculators poured $55 billion into commodity markets, and by July, $318 billion was rolling the markets. From 2003 to 2008, the volume of index fund speculation increased by 1,900%.

But speculation is not the only cause of inflation in food and fuel. Severe weather vents induced by climate change, increased competition for food and land especially from China, increasing costs of production as oil reaches its peak. And the switch to bio-fuel also contributes to the underlying pressures that Glencore and the other speculators feed upon.

A small, and now declining, number of global corporations driven by profit for the benefit of shareholders, have brought the planet to the limits of its ability to support life, and its people to the limits of their ability and willingness to endure its effects.

Gerry Gold
Economics editor
www.aworldtowin.net

Wednesday, 2 February 2011

Uprisings deepen capitalism's crisis

Attempts to solve the global debt crisis have sent food prices soaring, driving impoverished masses onto the streets throughout the Middle East. Now a wave of political revolutions dashes remaining but false hopes of economic “recovery”.

Oil prices are rising sharply as the upheaval that began in Tunisia and now grips Egypt threatens to spread to major producers Algeria, Libya and even Saudi Arabia. Stock markets are jittery as they take in the consequences, including any threat to oil tankers which use the Suez Canal.

In Egypt, workers, the unemployed, young and old, artists and athletes, Christians and Muslims have united in their determination to bring the 30-year old autocratic regime of Hosni Mubarak to an end. His determination to hang on until September pleases neither the Egyptian people nor the White House, which fears the consequences of an unstoppable revolutionary process the longer Mubarak’s regime clings to power.

This fact is recognised by the International Monetary Fund too, which helped impose harsh market “reforms” on Egypt in the 1990s, which have only deepened inequality. IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn warned governments to tackle economic strains or risk instability and even war.

“This protest won’t end in North Africa; it will spread in many countries because of high unemployment and increasing food prices,” Hamza Alkholi, chairman and chief executive of Saudi Alkholi Group, a holding company investing in industrials and real estate, said in an interview in Davos, Switzerland.

As Nouriel Roubini, the leading economics analyst who forecast the global financial crash, notes:

What has happened in Tunisia, is happening right now in Egypt, but also riots in Morocco, Algeria and Pakistan, are related not only to high unemployment rates and to income and wealth inequality, but also to this very sharp rise in food and commodity prices.

In Egypt, 40% of the 80 million people live on less than $2 a day. Prices of basic foodstuffs have soared by over 17%, putting basic necessities beyond the reach of many. The average Egyptian now spends 40% of his or her income on food while economists put the unofficial jobless rate at about 25%.

The worldwide surge in commodity prices is being driven by stock markets and investment banks desperate to find new areas for profit-taking. With the 2008 financial meltdown still unravelling, speculators have turned to basic commodities. They have used funds pumped into the system by the US Treasury and the Bank of England, also known as QE or “quantitative easing”.

QE was designed to boost economic growth. Instead, it has helped to create a 32% increase in the average cost of food in the second half of 2010, according to the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO). Wheat prices alone jumped 70% between June and December.

Despite Mubarak’s televised claim that the protests had been manipulated by political forces this is a completely Egyptian, largely secular, wholly grass roots movement. With its roots in a strike by textile workers in April 2008, a popular revolution is under way. The country is at a standstill as events unfold. The economy is paralysed. People’s committees have taken charge of the security of their streets and neighbourhood.

Even when Mubarak shut down the internet and mobile phone networks last week the 70,000 strong April 6th Facebook group of mostly young people continued to organise the protest, calling for the “million man march” that brought more than two million Egyptians onto the streets of Cairo, Alexandria, Suez, Sinai and Upper Egypt demanding that the president should leave.

People on the street demand change to “every element of the system” but lack a developed leadership that can transform the Egyptian capitalist state. As soaring prices and unemployment make clear, revolutionary social and economic change is required along with the end of the Mubarak dictatorship.

Gerry Gold
Economics editor
http://www.aworldtowin.net/