Showing posts with label Mehdi Hasan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mehdi Hasan. Show all posts

Thursday, 2 February 2012

Having a Laffer

Earlier this week Mehdi Hasan wrote a Guardian column entitled 'Why are deficit-cutters so afraid to talk about tax?' - a well-argued piece that said taxation should form a bigger part of deficit reduction than it presently does relative to the massive cuts.

It also quoted US judge Wendell Holmes "I like paying taxes, with them I buy civilisation" to make the pertinent point that taxes are what fund everything around us - the pavements we walk on, the schools our children use, the hospitals, the roads, the street lights, etc. A similar point has been made by Tony Benn who argued that suffrage (i.e. democracy) transfers power from the wallet to the ballot - what people couldn't afford themselves they could now vote for at the ballot box. Likewise Richard Murphy makes the case for tax very strongly in his new book 'The Courageous State' (which will be reviewed on this blog shortly).

Like Murphy, Mehdi Hasan wants courageous politicians - ones who will make the case for taxation - and more of it if necessary. As he righty says, "'deficit reduction' has become a convenient euphemism for cutting public expenditure" and "senior politicians of all stripes daren't refer to the T-word in public" as they are decried by the vocal right.

As if to prove that, when Mehdi tweeted* a link to his article it got a near instant response from the right. Toby Young replied "Two words Medhi [sic]: Laffer Curve". This is the argument that increasing taxation rates doesn't necessarily raise revenues, since it might provoke avoidance or damage the economy.

However, the Laffer Curve is not a tool solely of the right. Toby Young - a man whose knowledge and arrogance seem to have an inverse relationship - obviously hasn't read much about the Laffer Curve. If he had he might not be advocating a 70% taxation rate. That according to Mathias Trabandt & Harald Uhlig in 'How far are we from the slippery slope: The Laffer Curve revisited' is the income tax rate after which revenues start declining.

So the left should embrace the Laffer Curve and argue that income tax rates for the richest should rise from 50% - why not make that rate 60%, throw a 50% rate in at £100,000 and let's hit £200,000+ earners with 65%?

If Trabandt & Uhlig are right and revenues do slip off above 70%, then is that a reason not to have them? That might sound like a silly question, but that judgement is based on the assumption that the sole purpose of taxation is to raise revenue. It's not.

The London congestion charge does raise revenue, but its main function is to deter some traffic from central London and achieve what transport planners call 'modal shift' - getting people to use the bus to you and me. And using the bus becomes more attractive when there are bus lanes and clear roads: post-congestion charge and bus lane investment, journey times reduced. Taxation achieved that. Better for the environment, for the economy, and for you and I sitting on the 159.

Likewise the Tobin Tax (aka financial transaction tax or re-branded Robin Hood Tax) was designed to shift behaviour: to deter financiers from speculating on markets (which can have highly volatile and disruptive effects on the real economy) and to instead invest in something productive, like businesses or infrastructure.

So is there a deterrent effect (with a potentially beneficial outcome) reason to go over the peak of the Laffer Curve? Possibly. Let's consider an 80% tax rate on all incomes over £300,000 (about double what the Prime Minister receives or about 1/15th of the average FTSE 100 CEO's salary). Would a company set a salary at £4.5m knowing their employee was receiving less than £1m of it and the rest was going straight to the Treasury?

So, if we could effectively cap salaries at £300,000 (and therefore also reduce the ridiculous pension pots to the super-rich) that money could then be spent more productively - on research and development, or improving the wages or working conditions of general employees. Then the right would cry that British business could not compete. But the German Commerzbank caps its top pay at 500,000 euros or £416,000 - about one-third of what Stephen Hester will receive as his basic salary, even without his now defunct bonus.

*LEAP tweets @LEAPeconomics - follow us on twitter

Thursday, 6 October 2011

Dismantling the government’s ideological economic argument


Mehdi Hasan is a prolific tweeter, blogger and writer, and the senior political editor of the New Statesman. Earlier this year he also found time to write a
biography of Ed Miliband.

The Debt Delusion would be of great use to Ed Miliband since Hasan has assembled an array of arguments that dismantles the government’s economic agenda far more effectively than the official opposition has so far managed.

The short book takes aim at 10 myths perpetuated by the coalition about the debt and the deficit – and what remedies are most effective to reduce the debt, close the deficit and get the economy growing again.

One of the most alluring arguments deployed by the prime minister and the chancellor has been their equating of the national debt with a credit card, accusing Labour of
“maxing out the nation’s credit card”. But, as Hasan points out:

"Governments can increase their revenues by raising taxes; households cannot. Governments can print money and issue currency; households cannot."

As well as arming activists with some useful conceptual arguments, the book also puts
its case with some indisputable facts and statistics: like how there are only two cases out of 15 studied by the International Monetary Fund when cuts preceded economic growth.

There is also an interesting international comparison demonstrating that in 2009 the
UK took less as a proportion in tax than Denmark, Sweden, Italy, Belgium, France, Luxembourg and Germany – and yet George Osborne’s first move as chancellor was to cut business taxes.

The conclusion is straightforward: the government’s economic policy “is part of a
political and ideological project to roll back the frontiers of the state”. As Hasan says: “The debt is just a distraction.”

For activists it is a useful complement to our own union’s pamphlet ‘There is an Alternative’ – see pcs.org.uk/alternative – which has helped change the terms of the debate and won praise from other unions.